Fintech Research

Fintech funding in Asia has been tepid due to a confluence of factors, notably high interest rates, uncertainty about the global economy – and especially that of the United States – and general investor disenchantment with growth-first business models. That said, there are signs that the drop-off in funding that began in 2022 may have finally bottomed out. A new report by DealStreetAsia suggests that a modest recovery may be underway in Southeast Asia.

Brazil’s Nubank is continuing to prove the naysayers wrong. In the second quarter, the massive digital lender nearly doubled its net income from a year earlier to US$487 million. Revenue reached a record US$2.8 billion. It now has 104.5 million customers, including about 60% of Brazil’s adult population. The bank is also Latin America’s most valuable publicly-traded financial institution with a market capitalization of nearly $66 billion.

Grab lost US$53 million in the second quarter in the latest sign that its super app business model continues to face serious challenges. To be sure, Grab’s fintech business performed well, but because of the way the Singaporean firm has constructed its business, there is no separating that unit from its ride-hailing and food-delivery arms.

Fintech funding in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region is continuing a steady deceleration. A new report by KPMG shows that fintech investment in APAC decreased 21.7% year-on-year in the first half of the year to US$3.7 billion from US$4.6 billion during the same period in 2023. While the total number of deals in APAC rose to 438 from 406, not one of the 10 largest deals globally occurred in the region.

In its nine years of operation, UK fintech unicorn Revolut has always had outsize ambitions, depicting itself as a game-changing disruptor in the financial services sector. In some respects, the company has been successful. It is one of the most valuable startups in Europe and swung to a pre-tax profit of US$554 million in 2023. Its ability to reach profitability in less than a decade compares favorably with other prominent fintechs and platform companies leaning heavily into digital financial services. However, it is questionable whether Revolut is worth the US$45 billion valuation it is reportedly seeking.

In the first half of 2024 Indonesian super app GoTo lost US$174 million. While such a figure would barely have raised eyebrows back when interest rates were low and VC funding flowed freely, these days investors are more discerning – especially since GoTo is a public company listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). Like its counterpart Grab, GoTo has found it challenging to adjust to being a public company after being able to shrug off massive losses for years in private markets.

In one market after another in Asia Pacific, we are learning that the old maxim remains true: what goes up, must come down. Fintech funding was ascendant before the pandemic, briefly dipped during that crisis’s early months, and then surged to new highs. What finally crashed the party was an increase in the cost of capital (we can thank high interest rates and inflation for that) that has reduced the attractiveness of betting on loss-making – but potentially game-changing – fintech startups. Of all the markets in the APAC region, India has been among the most resilient because of its confluence of economic growth, financial digitization and unmatched scale. However, even India is not immune to challenging macroeconomic conditions.

Vietnam is one of the largest markets in Southeast Asia with a population of more than 90 million, but in terms of fintech development it remains somewhat nascent. In 2023, fintech funding fell 84% to just US$35.3 million, according to data compiled by research firm Tracxn, a significant decrease from 2022’s US$227 million. However, the fall in funding was consistent across most of Asia last year given unfavorable market conditions. The long-term outlook for Vietnam’s fintech industry remains positive, and it is in the process of rolling out a regulatory sandbox, while banks are beginning to invest more in digital technology given the competition they face from fintechs.

Fintech funding in Southeast Asia fell 20% year-on-year to US$851 million in the first half of 2024, according to a new report by India’s Tracxn. While early-stage investments showed some resilience, seed-stage funding fell by 27% to US$234 million. The second quarter of 2024 was particularly quiet for fintech funding in the region, falling 85% to US$477 million from the same period a year earlier.

Ever since it realized that the inherent difficulties in making a profit from ride hailing, Grab has been working to build up its digital financial services offerings. While the super app value proposition looks increasingly shaky, the Singapore-based company has nonetheless developed a wide range of fintech products across Southeast Asia.

Some of these offerings have been more successful than others – and Grab has, as a public company, had to exit businesses that are unprofitable and do not show significant potential.

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