Asia Banking Research
Does the Philippines need 4 more digital banks?
In 2021, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) imposed a three-year moratorium on applications for digital banking licenses so that it would have enough time to monitor the performance of the new online lenders and their impact on the financial system. It will take time for Philippine online banks to get out of the red, and in March, the BSP said that just two of the official digital lenders – which it did not identify – are profitable. It may take five to seven years before the others reach that milestone. Nevertheless, the Philippine central bank is pressing ahead with its plan to allow for more digital banks. From January 1, 2025, four more licensed online lenders will be permitted.
Trust Bank expects to become No. 4 retail bank in Singapore
How is it that a digital bank startup expects to become the No. 4 retail lender in Singapore before long? After all, digital banks are, with the occasional exception, better known for losing money than making a profit. Of the four online lenders who received licenses in December 2020, not one is currently profitable. However, Trust Bank, which launched in September 2022, is a different story. Trust Bank is not a traditional digital banking venture but rather an entity created by large incumbent lender Standard Chartered and supermarket chain Fair Price Group.
K Bank sees new momentum for IPO
South Korea’s No. 2 digital bank K Bank had been planning to go public on the Korea Exchange (KRX) at the end of this year, but has been hesitant to make that commitment given uncertain market conditions. However, K Bank posted such a strong performance in the first half of the year that it may decide the time is right to go public irrespective of market fluctuations. South Korea’s first online lender posted a net profit of 85.4 billion won (US$64 million) in the first half of this year, the highest since its establishment and more than thrice as much as during the same period a year ago.
Will Investree endure?
It was not so long agao that Indonesia’s troubled peer-to-peer (P2P) lending company Investree was riding high. In October 2023, the company announced it had raised US$231 million in a Series D funding round led by Qatar’s JTA International Holding which also included participation from Japan’s SBI Holdings. The Series D round suggested high investor confidence in Investree, which had previously raised $23.5 million in a March 2020 Series C round led by MUFG Innovation Partners and Bank Rakyat Indonesia Ventures. Yet the company has since been flummoxed by problems with its management, bad loans and lawsuits. In late August, Investree established a caretaker team to manage its daily operations under the guidance of Indonesia’s Financial Services Authority (OJK).
Kakao Bank shows resilience amid scandal
Kakao Bank has a history of proving wrong skeptics of digital banks. It has been consistently profitable since 2019 and is now set to expand in Southeast Asia. It has managed, for the most part, to stay out of regulatory crosshairs despite disrupting South Korea’s financial services sector. It seemed Kakao Bank’s long string of good fortune might finally have come to an end with the arrest of its parent company’s founder Kim Beom-su on July 23. He has been accused of manipulating stocks during Kakao’s acquisition of the K-Pop agency SM Entertainment last year. Yet thus far, the company’s stock price has been stable, increasing 2% to 21,900 won over the past month, while its second quarter earnings were solid.
Who will apply for a digital bank license in Thailand?
With the September 19 deadline for Thailand’s digital bank license applications less than a month away, it is worth taking a closer look at the prospective applicants. As expected, startups are absent. Instead, the likely applicants – and winners – are a mix of Thailand’s ultra-wealthy tycoons, prominent incumbent banks and Asian tech giants. The newest would-be applicant belongs to the latter category.
It may only get harder for digital banks in Hong Kong
There is a fundamental problem with digital banks in Hong Kong. Not only are they non-essential because the city’s population is so well banked, they also are almost all the offshoots of large incumbent lenders and/or tech companies. What that means is that most of them lack a startup ethos. While a startup mentality can result in massive cash burn – as seen with Revolut in the UK or N26 in Germany – it also can lead to genuine product innovation. In the absence of such innovation, online lenders resort to gimmicks like high deposit interest rates to attract customers. It is thus no surprise that the eight licensees together owned HK$49.9 billion (US$6.4 billion) in assets last year. That is just 0.3% of the assets owned by all the city's retail banks, according to the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s data.
The K Bank IPO could be delayed again
South Korea’s No. 2 digital bank K Bank had been planning to go public on the Korea Exchange (KRX) at the end of this year, but unfavorable market conditions could force the company to delay the listing. There are three main issues that could adversely impact the IPO: the softening of the U.S. economy, the legal troubles of the founder of rival internet bank Kakao Bank and the souring of regulators’ views on digital lenders.
Assessing the changing investment strategy of Temasek
The Singaporean sovereign wealth fund Temasek has long been one of the largest institutional investors in China, reflecting the close economic ties between the city-state and the world’s second largest economy. As recently as 2020, China accounted for 29% of Temasek’s portfolio. However, today Temasek’s investments in China have fallen to just 19% of its portfolio, below the U.S. at 22% and Singapore at 27%.
Will GXS Bank reach its profitability target?
Looking at the stock price of Singaporean platform company Grab, one wonders what investors truly think about this company’s prospects. Since its Dec. 2021 Nasdaq debut in a SPAC merger, Grab has lost 74% of its market value. The stock’s 52-week high is just US$3.88. We suspect that investors are concerned about the viability of Grab’s super app business strategy – which may struggle to pivot away from a focus on growth – even if individual units of the company are doing well. Grab does seem confident about its fintech business though and foresees profitability for its Singaporean digital bank before too long.
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Who needs more digital banks in Southeast Asia? If you asked us, we would say not too many countries do. Certainly not Singapore, probably not Malaysia or Thailand, and even though Indonesia is a huge market, it already has a lot of online lenders.
ANEXT Bank makes modest progress
What to make of ANEXT Bank? On the one hand, Ant Group has been focused for years now on expanding its presence in Southeast Asia. Its Singapore digital bank, which provides multi-currency business accounts, unsecured financing with flexible repayment options, and fixed deposit accounts to SMEs, is a key part of that expansion effort. And Ant has continuously injected large amounts of capital into ANEXT. On the other, from a financial standpoint, ANEXT’s performance remains underwhelming, and it is unclear how large the company’s addressable market is in Singapore.
Kakao’s fintech business may be in trouble
Kakao Bank has long proven skeptics of digital banks wrong. It has been profitable since 2019 and is now set to expand in Southeast Asia. There is just one problem: Its parent company’s founder Kim Beom-su was arrested on July 23. He has been accused of manipulating stocks during Kakao’s acquisition of the K-Pop agency SM Entertainment last year.
Can Australia revive its open banking initiative?
We remember when Australia first kicked off its open banking initiative, known as the “consumer data right,” with much fanfare five years ago. The program was supposed to increase the quality of banking services to consumers by giving them access – in theory – to more of a customized experience in which they could pick and choose which services they wanted from which providers. They only had to agree to let their data be shared with different banks. However, a recent report by the Australia Banking Association (ABA) found that just 0.3% of bank customers are using the program, suggesting that it has been a failure and that Australia needs to reimagine its approach to open banking.